Oued Ellil 1-0 ES Rades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Ellil EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Rades EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.75/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+33% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oued Ellil
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ES Rades
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.12.2022 ES Rades ES Rades 0-0 HT 0-0 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oued Ellil
1-0
AWAY ES Rades
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oued Ellil vs ES Rades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Ellil nicked a narrow win over ES Rades 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oued Ellil as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oued Ellil had 42% of the ball to ES Rades's 58%, shots finished 3-6.

What was the final score of Oued Ellil vs ES Rades?

Oued Ellil 1-0 ES Rades in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Ellil vs ES Rades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oued Ellil win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Oued Ellil 49%, draw 26%, ES Rades 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oued Ellil), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oued Ellil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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