Hammam-Sousse 3-3 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.5pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.67
-31% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +95%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammam-Sousse
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Msaken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.12.2024 Msaken Msaken 2-2 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2
31.05.2024 Msaken Msaken 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammam-Sousse
3-3
AWAY Msaken
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Sousse and Msaken shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hammam-Sousse at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammam-Sousse had 65% of the ball to Msaken's 35%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Msaken led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hammam-Sousse and 1.50 for Msaken.

What was the final score of Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken?

Hammam-Sousse 3-3 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Sousse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Sousse 46%, draw 28%, Msaken 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammam-Sousse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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