Jendouba Sports 5-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jendouba Sports EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.40
-19% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jendouba Sports
0W-1D-0L
AWAY EM Mahdia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.12.2024 EM Mahdia 1-1 Jendouba Sports Jendouba Sports TUN2
POST-MATCH Jendouba Sports vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jendouba Sports ran out comfortable winners over EM Mahdia 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jendouba Sports as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Jendouba Sports vs EM Mahdia?

Jendouba Sports 5-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jendouba Sports vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jendouba Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jendouba Sports 56%, draw 29%, EM Mahdia 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jendouba Sports), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jendouba Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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