Jerba 1-0 Kasserine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 20 Apr 2025

Jerba
1-0
Kasserine
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Jerba vs Kasserine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.38
Over 2.5
40%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
69%
-8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
31%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jerba v Kasserine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerba EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasserine EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.67/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-43% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Jerba vs Kasserine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerba squeezed past Kasserine 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jerba as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Jerba vs Kasserine?

Jerba 1-0 Kasserine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerba vs Kasserine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jerba 47%, draw 27%, Kasserine 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jerba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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