Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.94
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.74
X/2
8%
4.98
X/X
8%
3.94
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
3.19
2/X
9%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
0.94/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.90
+56% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
17.0 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.83 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
384 Passes 340
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
19.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.01.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
04.09.2005 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-2
AWAY Cremonese
2.81 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
468 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Cremonese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 58% of the ball to Cremonese's 42%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.81 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Catanzaro and 0.75 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cremonese?

Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 33%, draw 25%, Cremonese 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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