Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
7%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.46
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.55
X/2
21%
4.98
X/X
17%
4.86
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.03
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
0.55/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.80
+73% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
14.1 Crosses 20.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
482 Passes 324
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.01.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
04.09.2005 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
0-0
AWAY Cremonese
0.83 xG 0.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
286 Passes 356
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Cremonese played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Catanzaro had 44% of the ball to Cremonese's 56%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.83 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Catanzaro and 1.00 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cremonese?

Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 33%, draw 29%, Cremonese 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cremonese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
20 Apr 2024
15:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa Analysis →
15:00 Ascoli vs Modena Analysis →
15:00 Brescia vs Ternana Analysis →
15:00 FeralpiSalo vs Como Analysis →
17:15 Spezia vs Sampdoria Analysis →
17:15 Südtirol vs Cittadella Analysis →