Spezia 0-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
15%
6.48
X/X
11%
4.08
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.98
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.37/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.5 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 1-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
22.04.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTA
17.09.2022 Spezia Spezia 2-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
23.01.2022 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
22.10.2021 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 2-0 Spezia Spezia İTA
12.05.2021 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Spezia Spezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
0-0
AWAY Sampdoria
1.43 xG 0.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
328 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 11
39 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spezia vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia and Sampdoria played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spezia had 52% of the ball to Sampdoria's 48%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.43 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spezia and 1.33 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Spezia vs Sampdoria?

Spezia 0-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spezia 41%, draw 25%, Sampdoria 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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