Brescia 0-0 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

Brescia
0-0 HT 0-0
Ternana
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Brescia vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 25% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.62
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.47
X/2
6%
7.55
X/X
17%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
11%
5.46
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brescia v Ternana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.56/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.68
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
24.2 Crosses 22.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Brescia vs Ternana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ternana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.32 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
305 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Ternana Ternana 0-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
10.04.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-0 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
12.11.2022 Ternana Ternana 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
22.01.2022 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
22.08.2021 Ternana Ternana 0-2 HT 0-2 Brescia Brescia İTB
18.02.2018 Brescia Brescia 3-1 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB

Brescia 0-0 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
0-0
AWAY Ternana
1.14 xG 1.55
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
465 Passes 184
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia and Ternana fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Brescia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brescia had 67% of the ball to Ternana's 33%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.14 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brescia and 0.33 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Ternana?

Brescia 0-0 Ternana in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brescia 46%, draw 29%, Ternana 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brescia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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