Ascoli 0-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

Ascoli
0-0 HT 0-0
Modena
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Ascoli vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.82
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
13%
5.3
X/2
18%
5.22
X/X
15%
3.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.12
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ascoli v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.31/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.89
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
22.8 Crosses 18.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Ascoli vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 0.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
01.03.2023 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
08.10.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 1-2 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
01.03.2016 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
17.10.2015 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
13.04.2013 Ascoli Ascoli 2-3 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB

Ascoli 0-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-0
AWAY Modena
1.21 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
339 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Modena fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 55% of the ball to Modena's 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.21 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ascoli and 1.50 for Modena.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Modena?

Ascoli 0-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 32%, draw 28%, Modena 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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