FeralpiSalo 2-5 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

FeralpiSalo
2-5 HT 2-3
Como
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FeralpiSalo vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.52
1/2
5%
24.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
9%
8.66
X/2
14%
4.23
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.38
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.6
Value flag · 2/X at 13.6 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FeralpiSalo v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 56%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.17/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.17
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.2 Crosses 27.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

FeralpiSalo vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Como
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 482
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Como Como 2-1 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB
21.02.2015 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
05.10.2014 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-2 HT 0-1 Como Como İTC
02.03.2014 Como Como 1-0 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC

FeralpiSalo 2-5 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-5
AWAY Como
0.67 xG 2.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 10
278 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como swept aside FeralpiSalo 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 49% of the ball to Como's 51%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.67 to 2.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Como led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FeralpiSalo and 1.50 for Como.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Como?

FeralpiSalo 2-5 Como in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 28%, draw 27%, Como 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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