FC Bari 1908 1-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.71
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.57
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
11%
5.84
X/X
14%
3.83
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
15%
4.47
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
-2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.1 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Pisa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.24 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
395 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
23.04.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
04.12.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
29.04.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
09.12.2016 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
29.03.2009 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Pisa
1.71 xG 0.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
304 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Pisa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 52% of the ball to Pisa's 48%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.71 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.33 for Pisa.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 38%, draw 28%, Pisa 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5
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