Südtirol 0-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.74
X/2
15%
6.09
X/X
15%
3.18
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.17
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.12/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.17
-16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.1 Crosses 24.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
257 Passes 291
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 2-1 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
13.05.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
18.12.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 0-2 HT 0-2 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
11.11.2015 Cittadella Cittadella 3-3 HT 2-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-0
AWAY Cittadella
0.91 xG 0.56
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
501 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Cittadella fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Südtirol had 64% of the ball to Cittadella's 36%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.91 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Südtirol and 1.50 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Cittadella?

Südtirol 0-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 37%, draw 29%, Cittadella 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Südtirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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