Catania 1-0 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.06/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.90
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avellino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 5-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.10.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
23.03.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
20.10.2021 Catania Catania 2-2 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
21.03.2021 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 2-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
29.11.2020 Avellino Avellino 1-2 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-0
AWAY Avellino
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania squeezed past Avellino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Catania found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Catania had 44% of the ball to Avellino's 56%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Catania and 1.83 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Catania vs Avellino?

Catania 1-0 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Catania 33%, draw 30%, Avellino 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avellino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
21 May 2024
21:30 Juventus II vs Carrarese Analysis →
21:30 Benevento vs Sassari Torres Analysis →