Avellino 5-2 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.52/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
+5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Catania
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
29.10.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
23.03.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
20.10.2021 Catania Catania 2-2 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
21.03.2021 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 2-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
29.11.2020 Avellino Avellino 1-2 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
22.01.2020 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
5-2
AWAY Catania
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino swept aside Catania 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avellino had 48% of the ball to Catania's 52%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avellino and 1.83 for Catania.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Catania?

Avellino 5-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avellino 42%, draw 31%, Catania 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
6 Mar 2024
20:30 SS Monopoli vs Brindisi Analysis →
20:30 Novara vs Renate Analysis →
20:30 Foggia Calcio vs Picerno Analysis →
20:30 SPAL vs Sassari Torres Analysis →
20:30 Olbia 1905 vs Juventus II Analysis →
20:30 ACR Messina vs Crotone Analysis →