Novara 1-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.18
6+ Goals
10%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.23/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Renate
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Renate Renate 2-2 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
23.12.2022 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
03.09.2022 Novara Novara 3-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
15.03.2021 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
15.11.2020 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
09.07.2020 Renate Renate 1-2 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
1-1
AWAY Renate
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara and Renate shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Novara had 44% of the ball to Renate's 56%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novara and 1.33 for Renate.

What was the final score of Novara vs Renate?

Novara 1-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Novara 37%, draw 27%, Renate 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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