ACR Messina vs Crotone Prediction — Model Probabilities
ACR Messina v Crotone — Team-Based Signals
ACR Messina vs Crotone Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
ACR Messina 0-1 Crotone — Actual Match Statistics
Crotone shaded a tight game against ACR Messina 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, ACR Messina had 58% of the ball to Crotone's 42%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for ACR Messina and 2.00 for Crotone.
ACR Messina vs Crotone Result & Final Score
ACR Messina 0 - 1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
ACR Messina vs Crotone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 25%, draw 30%, Crotone 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.