ACR Messina vs Crotone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ACR Messina v Crotone — Team-Based Signals
ACR Messina vs Crotone Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
ACR Messina
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
ACR Messina
İTC
2-4
HT 1-2
Crotone
İTC
4-0
HT 2-0
Crotone
İTB
ACR Messina 0-1 Crotone — Actual Match Statistics
Crotone squeezed past ACR Messina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Crotone found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, ACR Messina had 58% of the ball to Crotone's 42%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for ACR Messina and 2.00 for Crotone.
What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Crotone?
ACR Messina 0-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Crotone?
Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 35%, draw 27%, Crotone 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.