SPAL 0-2 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.68
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
0.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
-17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sassari Torres
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
0-2
AWAY Sassari Torres
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres beat SPAL 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Sassari Torres made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, SPAL had 51% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 49%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Sassari Torres?

SPAL 0-2 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SPAL 38%, draw 25%, Sassari Torres 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SPAL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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