SS Monopoli 2-2 Brindisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Brindisi EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.24
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Brindisi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Brindisi Brindisi 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
2-2
AWAY Brindisi
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Brindisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli and Brindisi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SS Monopoli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 54% of the ball to Brindisi's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Brindisi?

SS Monopoli 2-2 Brindisi in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Brindisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 44%, draw 28%, Brindisi 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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