Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 May 2024

Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-1 HT 1-1
Baniyas SC
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
30%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.78
2-3 Goals
42%
2.52
4-5 Goals
26%
2.32
6+ Goals
13%
3.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
68%
-19.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.9pp
30%
Away Win
16%
+14.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli FC Dubai v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
2.14/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.92
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.6 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.79 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
371 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
07.05.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
25.12.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-2 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
22.05.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
30.12.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
03.05.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 Baniyas SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-1
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.86 xG 0.77
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 Passes 206
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai edged past Baniyas SC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 65% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 35%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.50 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 49%, draw 21%, Baniyas SC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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