Al Nasr 1-1 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 May 2024

Al Nasr
1-1 HT 1-1
Ajman
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Ajman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.02 — our 30% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Ajman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.64/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.31
-13% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.8 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Nasr vs Ajman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajman
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.85 xG 1.19
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.04.2024 Ajman Ajman 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
16.12.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
14.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 4-1 HT 3-1 Ajman Ajman BAELK
30.08.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
04.02.2023 Ajman Ajman 4-1 HT 4-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.09.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr and Ajman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasr at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Nasr and 1.33 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Ajman?

Al Nasr 1-1 Ajman in the UAE - League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 42%, draw 27%, Ajman 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nasr), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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