Chapecoense 0-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 May 2024

Chapecoense
0-0 HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Chapecoense vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.45
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.27/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.28
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.8 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Chapecoense vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.78 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
29.04.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
04.09.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 3-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
25.05.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
21.01.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
21.10.2020 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-5 HT 0-2 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2

Chapecoense 0-0 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.25 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense and Ponte Preta fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chapecoense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chapecoense had 57% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 43%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.25 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chapecoense and 0.33 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Ponte Preta?

Chapecoense 0-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 44%, draw 29%, Ponte Preta 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chapecoense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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