MC Oran 1-0 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Oran EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.32/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.05
-19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Oran
2W-3D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
10.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
02.10.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
18.04.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
24.12.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
04.07.2021 MC Oran MC Oran 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Oran
1-0
AWAY USM Alger
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MC Oran vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Oran edged past USM Alger 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MC Oran as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, MC Oran had 43% of the ball to USM Alger's 57%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Oran had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MC Oran and 0.67 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of MC Oran vs USM Alger?

MC Oran 1-0 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Oran vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MC Oran 50%, draw 30%, USM Alger 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Oran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MC Oran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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