TS Galaxy 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 21 May 2024

TS Galaxy
1-1 HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
6%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TS Galaxy v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
0.89/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.74
+8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +135%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
192 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 85%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
11.0 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TS Galaxy
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.81 xG 1.64
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
226 Passes 506
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
18.10.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
24.01.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
02.03.2022 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 0-3 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
19.09.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL

TS Galaxy 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TS Galaxy
1-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.70 xG 1.44
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
112 Passes 397
58% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TS Galaxy and Mamelodi Sundowns couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, TS Galaxy had 29% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 71%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.70 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for TS Galaxy and 2.17 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

TS Galaxy 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split TS Galaxy 22%, draw 28%, Mamelodi Sundowns 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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