Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 54%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.34/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.68
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-0
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa nicked a narrow win over Suwon Bluewings 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 55% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 45%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 26%, draw 28%, Suwon Bluewings 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5
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