Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 El Daklyeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.4
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY El Daklyeh EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 19.6
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY El Daklyeh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.32 xG 0.31
73% Ball Possession 27%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
468 Passes 123
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2023 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 0-0 HT 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1-0
AWAY El Daklyeh
1.20 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
254 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Daklyeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla edged past El Daklyeh 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baladiyyat Al Mehalla as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 52% of the ball to El Daklyeh's 48%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.20 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Daklyeh?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 El Daklyeh in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Daklyeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 43%, draw 28%, El Daklyeh 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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