Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.28
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.4 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
28.02.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
01.11.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
30.05.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
18.11.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
30.04.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1-0
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.15 xG 0.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
325 Passes 230
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
7 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra edged past National Bank of Egypt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 56% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 44%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.15 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 0.83 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt?

Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 41%, draw 28%, National Bank of Egypt 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
21 May 2024
16:00 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Daklyeh Analysis →
19:00 El Gounah vs El Geish Analysis →