Skeid II 2-3 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.32
2-3 Goals
35%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
17%
5.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.78/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.32
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skeid II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.09.2023 Skeid II Skeid II 2-3 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
30.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 2-2 HT 1-2 Skeid II Skeid II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skeid II
2-3
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Skeid II vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II squeezed past Skeid II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Sarpsborg 08 II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Skeid II had 51% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 49%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Skeid II and 2.50 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

What was the final score of Skeid II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Skeid II 2-3 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Skeid II 33%, draw 29%, Sarpsborg 08 II 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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