Stabaek II 3-4 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
1.0
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
25%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
17%
+11.1pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 59%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
0.77/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-57% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lilleström II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2023 Lilleström II Lilleström II 2-2 HT 0-1 Stabaek II Stabaek II NOR4
12.06.2023 Stabaek II Stabaek II 2-6 HT 1-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek II
3-4
AWAY Lilleström II
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Stabaek II vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II edged past Stabaek II 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lilleström II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Stabaek II had 47% of the ball to Lilleström II's 53%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lilleström II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stabaek II and 4.00 for Lilleström II.

What was the final score of Stabaek II vs Lilleström II?

Stabaek II 3-4 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek II vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stabaek II 28%, draw 28%, Lilleström II 44%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
21 May 2024
15:15 Rosenborg II vs Stromsgodset II Analysis →
17:00 Odds BK II vs Sandnes Ulf II Analysis →
19:00 Skeid II vs Sarpsborg 08 II Analysis →
19:00 Molde II vs Kristiansund II Analysis →
20:00 Mjöndalen II vs KFUM II Analysis →
20:00 Sprint Jelöy vs HamKam II Analysis →