Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-2 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 55%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.65
-100% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye edged past Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-2 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 22%, draw 31%, Henan Jianye 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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