Guangzhou E-Power 2-2 Shenzhen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou E-Power EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -59%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guangzhou E-Power vs Shenzhen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou E-Power and Shenzhen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shenzhen at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guangzhou E-Power vs Shenzhen?

Guangzhou E-Power 2-2 Shenzhen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou E-Power vs Shenzhen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shenzhen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou E-Power 17%, draw 27%, Shenzhen 55%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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