Catanzaro 0-2 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.43
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
7.12
X/2
15%
5.01
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.12
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.18
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
20.2 Crosses 22.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Spezia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 1.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Spezia Spezia 0-1 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
21.12.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
03.02.2024 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
30.08.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
0-2
AWAY Spezia
0.30 xG 1.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
297 Passes 225
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia got the better of Catanzaro 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 54% of the ball to Spezia's 46%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.30 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Catanzaro and 0.50 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Spezia?

Catanzaro 0-2 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 31%, draw 28%, Spezia 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
21 May 2025
21:30 Juve Stabia vs Cremonese Analysis →