Audace Cerignola 2-2 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.78 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.75/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.31
+34% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2-2
AWAY Atalanta II
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and Atalanta II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 50% of the ball to Atalanta II's 50%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta II?

Audace Cerignola 2-2 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 42%, draw 21%, Atalanta II 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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