Vicenza 1-0 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 May 2025

Vicenza
1-0 HT 1-0
Crotone
📅21/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Vicenza vs Crotone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vicenza v Crotone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.24/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
-13% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Vicenza vs Crotone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crotone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.83 xG 0.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
223 Passes 382
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Crotone Crotone 1-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
06.04.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
26.11.2021 Crotone Crotone 0-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
27.02.2016 Crotone Crotone 2-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
10.10.2015 Vicenza Vicenza 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
21.02.2015 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTB

Vicenza 1-0 Crotone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Crotone
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza nicked a narrow win over Crotone 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vicenza had 40% of the ball to Crotone's 60%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vicenza and 0.67 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Crotone?

Vicenza 1-0 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 49%, draw 27%, Crotone 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ BTTS Yes
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