Muharraq 1-1 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
2.09/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.30
+14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
1W-5D-0L
AWAY East Riffa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 East Riffa East Riffa 0-3 HT 0-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.05.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 2-2 HT 2-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
18.12.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 2-2 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
14.04.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 2-2 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
20.10.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.04.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
1-1
AWAY East Riffa
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq and East Riffa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Muharraq had 49% of the ball to East Riffa's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Muharraq and 1.17 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs East Riffa?

Muharraq 1-1 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 42%, draw 23%, East Riffa 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5
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BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
21 May 2025
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