Gagra 1-1 Gareji — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 21 May 2025

Gagra
1-1 HT 0-1
Gareji
📅21/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gareji EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.40/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
238 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gareji
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2025 Gareji Gareji 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY Gareji
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Gareji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Gareji shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Gagra had 61% of the ball to Gareji's 39%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Gareji?

Gagra 1-1 Gareji in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Gareji?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gagra 38%, draw 35%, Gareji 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gagra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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