Dordrecht 2-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 May 2025

Dordrecht
2-1 HT 2-1
Willem II
📅21/05/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Dordrecht vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.05
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.91
X/2
9%
6.91
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
8%
5.17
2/X
10%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.00
+38% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +117%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.0 Crosses 24.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Dordrecht vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Willem II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
295 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
18.08.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
10.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.11.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
21.03.2015 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL
28.11.2014 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-4 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL

Dordrecht 2-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-1
AWAY Willem II
0.81 xG 3.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 10
193 Passes 229
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 42
25 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht edged past Willem II 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 47% of the ball to Willem II's 53%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.81 to 3.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Willem II.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dordrecht and 2.00 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Willem II?

Dordrecht 2-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 47%, draw 30%, Willem II 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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