Stars FC 2-5 Tucson — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
15%
+11.7pp
18%
Draw
15%
+2.9pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-14.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stars FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Tucson EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -36%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
208 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Stars FC vs Tucson
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tucson swept aside Stars FC 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tucson as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Stars FC vs Tucson?

Stars FC 2-5 Tucson in the USA - USL League 2 on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stars FC vs Tucson?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tucson win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stars FC 27%, draw 18%, Tucson 55%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tucson), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tucson) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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