Negele Arsi Ketema 0-0 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
Over 2.5
21%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
8%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.6pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.03/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.03
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2026 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 0-1 HT 0-1 Negele Arsi Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
0-0
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Negele Arsi Ketema vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema and Shire Endaselassie fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (79%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Negele Arsi Ketema had 58% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 42%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Shire Endaselassie?

Negele Arsi Ketema 0-0 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Negele Arsi Ketema 38%, draw 35%, Shire Endaselassie 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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