Llaneros 3-1 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 21 May 2026

Llaneros
3-1 HT 1-1
Patriotas Boyaca
📅21/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyaca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Llaneros v Patriotas Boyaca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.74/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.77
+80% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -50%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyaca Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
05.10.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 0-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLPB
24.06.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLPB
19.06.2023 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLPB
05.02.2023 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLB
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros got the better of Patriotas Boyaca 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Llaneros as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Patriotas Boyaca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Llaneros and 0.75 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Llaneros 3-1 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Cup on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 55%, draw 24%, Patriotas Boyaca 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llaneros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llaneros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOLK More Colombia - Cup
21 May 2026
03:00 Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boca Juniors de Cali Analysis →
03:40 Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera Analysis →
23:30 Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira Analysis →