Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒03:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.74/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.57
+27% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 0.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2026 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
29.10.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
12.05.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
23.07.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
27.01.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
02.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali edged past Alianza Petrolera 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Cali as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.17 for Alianza Petrolera.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?

Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Cup on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 50%, draw 27%, Alianza Petrolera 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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