Alianza Petrolera 3-3 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Jan 2024

Alianza Petrolera
3-3 HT 2-2
Deportivo Cali
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Petrolera v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.35/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.18
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.0 Crosses 15.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
20.08.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 4-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
21.02.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.08.2021 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
23.02.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL

Alianza Petrolera 3-3 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
3-3
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.01 xG 1.05
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
161 Passes 326
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Deportivo Cali shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 38% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 62%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.01 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 2.17 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali?

Alianza Petrolera 3-3 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 44%, draw 23%, Deportivo Cali 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Over 2.5
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