Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 1-4 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima cruised past Deportivo Pasto 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 55% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.30 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto 1-4 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 34%, draw 32%, Deportes Tolima 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.