Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 1-4 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima made light work of Deportivo Pasto 4-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 55% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.30 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
Deportivo Pasto 1 - 4 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 34%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.