Deportivo Cali 0-1 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.22/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.10
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.3 Crosses 13.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.05.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
23.07.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
27.01.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
02.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
20.08.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 4-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
0-1
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
0.83 xG 1.22
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
343 Passes 156
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera edged past Deportivo Cali 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cali at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 63% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 37%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.83 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.50 for Alianza Petrolera.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?

Deportivo Cali 0-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 44%, draw 27%, Alianza Petrolera 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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