Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 20%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.47/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.30
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
18.3 Crosses 10.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Envigado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2025 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.06.2025 Envigado Envigado 2-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
10.05.2025 Envigado Envigado 0-2 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
24.03.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.10.2024 Envigado Envigado 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
24.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-0
AWAY Envigado
1.52 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
239 Passes 162
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Envigado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 57% of the ball to Envigado's 43%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.52 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado?

Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 58%, draw 25%, Envigado 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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