Envigado 1-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
0.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.94
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
12.8 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
258 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Envigado Envigado 2-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
10.05.2025 Envigado Envigado 0-2 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
24.03.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.10.2024 Envigado Envigado 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
24.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.26 xG 0.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
404 Passes 257
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Aguilas Doradas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 59% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 41%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Envigado and 1.33 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas?

Envigado 1-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Envigado 32%, draw 28%, Aguilas Doradas 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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