Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguilas Doradas v Envigado — Team-Based Signals
Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Envigado
KOL
2-2
HT 1-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-2
HT 1-2
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas edged past Envigado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 44% of the ball to Envigado's 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.17 for Envigado.
What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado?
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 54%, draw 25%, Envigado 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.