Envigado 3-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Oct 2024

Envigado
3-0 HT 1-0
Aguilas Doradas
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.89/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.79
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
12.2 Crosses 13.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.9

Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
225 Passes 293
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.05.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
22.10.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL

Envigado 3-0 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
3-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.76 xG 1.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
175 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado ran out comfortable winners over Aguilas Doradas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Envigado had 39% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 61%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.76 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.83 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas?

Envigado 3-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Envigado 30%, draw 26%, Aguilas Doradas 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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