Llaneros 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 49%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.00
-48% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.9 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
316 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 1-3 HT 0-3 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
25.03.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
1-0
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.67 xG 0.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 429
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros squeezed past Deportes Tolima 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Llaneros had 38% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 62%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.67 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Llaneros and 2.00 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?

Llaneros 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 26%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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