Llaneros 1-3 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
0.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.08
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
27.0 Crosses 13.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
267 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.03.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
1-3
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.76 xG 1.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
364 Passes 319
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima beat Llaneros 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Llaneros had 53% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 47%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.76 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?

Llaneros 1-3 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 36%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llaneros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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