Independiente Medellin 2-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 May 2025

Independiente Medellin
2-0 HT 0-0
Deportivo Pereira
📅20/05/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Pereira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.41/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
-12% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.3 Crosses 12.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.07.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
28.01.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.10.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
07.05.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
08.12.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
05.12.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL

Independiente Medellin 2-0 Deportivo Pereira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.82 xG 0.73
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
324 Passes 137
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin got the better of Deportivo Pereira 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 36%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.82 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.83 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?

Independiente Medellin 2-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 54%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pereira 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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